Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 1.167523 1.424709 1.756541 2.230507 2.916581 3.921884 5.615130
2025-07-13 0.879824 1.183724 1.642876 2.446832 3.983371 7.307712 17.757435
2025-07-20 0.715625 1.022294 1.535244 2.573882 5.068774 13.116333 82.267978
2025-07-27 0.598618 0.888472 1.406901 2.570335 5.920534 21.957557 1522.796290
2025-08-03 0.509756 0.775898 1.273920 2.476085 6.460240 34.329798 NaN
2025-08-10 0.457477 0.714392 1.218167 2.533912 7.678416 71.972451 NaN
2025-08-17 0.421549 0.674570 1.193783 2.662963 9.576495 242.062331 NaN
2025-08-24 0.384416 0.625347 1.135359 2.663071 10.968050 1195.559499 NaN
2025-08-31 0.348263 0.572334 1.055973 2.558690 11.580129 17075.692126 NaN
2025-09-07 0.329097 0.550301 1.044023 2.680893 14.571008 NaN NaN
2025-09-14 0.307769 0.520729 1.007112 2.695478 16.920430 NaN NaN
2025-09-21 0.285816 0.487130 0.953576 2.620982 18.170927 NaN NaN
2025-09-28 0.266929 0.458513 0.909359 2.573774 20.047315 NaN NaN
2025-10-05 0.260090 0.455016 0.930868 2.831263 30.472609 NaN NaN
2025-10-12 0.250301 0.443745 0.928908 2.986657 43.218517 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.237296 0.423763 0.898464 2.981832 52.325554 NaN NaN
2025-10-26 0.222974 0.399418 0.851473 2.864961 55.013198 NaN NaN
2025-11-02 0.214341 0.387327 0.838629 2.936548 75.241177 NaN NaN
2025-11-09 0.208179 0.380316 0.839764 3.096936 124.812979 NaN NaN
2025-11-16 0.199423 0.366350 0.817140 3.097070 166.590502 NaN NaN
2025-11-23 0.189107 0.347856 0.777758 2.967276 172.237137 NaN NaN
2025-11-30 0.184409 0.342430 0.779032 3.119284 353.265200 NaN NaN
2025-12-07 0.177875 0.332001 0.762549 3.137475 586.312608 NaN NaN